• From Christopher Carolan's "The Spiral Calendar"
    A Detective Story

    and 1987. The third is not readily apparent, but is crucial to the appearance of Figure 1 - 1. It is the calendar that determines how the two data sets align. The chart shows the first day of trading in 1929 aligned above the first day of trading in 1997, etc. By aligning both charts at the beginning of the year, we am using the calendar as the yardstick of comparison. The fact that the similarities in the charts occurred at the same time of yew is what makes it most interesting. If one crash had occurred in March and the other in October, the shape of the charts may still be similar, but the comparison would no longer be as striking. The similarity in the two charts is greatly a function of the calendar. The examination of the exact dater, of the similarities also uses the yardstick of the calendar as the absolute against which conclusions am drawn. The questions I wanted answered were, "Is this calendar the proper yardstick?" and "What would happen if the two years of wading data are compared with some other method of counting time?"

    ON CALENDARS

    The calendar we use is the Gregorian calendar. It is an improved version of the Julian calendar named for Julius Caesar. Our calendar, with its Roman origin, does a very good job of keeping time. The time it keeps is solar time, the rotation of the earth around the sun once every 365.25 days. Them am other units of time a calendar could use. Ancient calendars usually measured the time it takes for the moon to circle the earth relative to the sun. Most calendars measure one type of time accurately and then approximate the other type of time. Our solar calendar approximates lunar time with its month, but this is an inaccurate measurement of lunar time. To distinguish between the modern month, which is 1/12th of a solar year, and the ancient month, which is one moon. I will use the ten, "moon" for the ancient month and "month" in its present context as a fraction of a solar year. 

  •  

    1929

     

    1987

     

    Solar
    Calendar

     

    Lunar
    Calendar

     

    Solar
    Calendar

     

    Lunar
    Calendar

     

    Spring Low

     

    31 May

     

    2nd moon

    22nd day

     

    20 May

     

    2nd moon

    23rd day

     

    Summer High

     

    3 September

     

    6th moon

    1st day

     

    25 August

     

    6th moon

    2ndday

     

    Fall High

     

    I I October

     

    7th moon

    9th day

     

    2 October

     

    7th moon

    10thday

     

    Crash

     

    29 October

     

    7th moon

    27th day

     

    19 October

     

    7th moon

    27th day

    Table 1&emdash;1